Peak Bulletin 2024 – Issue 5

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Introduction

As the countdown to Christmas heats up, this week’s Peak Bulletin brings you the must-know updates to keep things merry and bright.

From shifting parcel volumes to last-minute festive trends, we’re here to help you sleigh the season and make it a merry success. Let’s finish strong!

Peak Bulletin 2024 - Issue 5

Retail & Consumer Pulse

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Retail Economics

Peak Returns: Why Effective Returns Management is Crucial for Retailers

The festive season isn’t just a Peak time for sales—it’s also when returns hit their highest.

In the UK, online returns are forecast to reach £27.3 billion this year, with serial returners — 11% of shoppers — responsible for 24% of all returns, according to Retail Economics and ZigZag.

For retailers, this creates an operational challenge: managing the surge in returns while protecting profitability and customer satisfaction.

To address this, retailers are employing a range of strategies aimed at balancing costs and consumer expectations:

  • Return Fees to deter excessive returns – Retailers like ASOS (£3.95) and H&M (£1.99) have introduced return fees to discourage frequent returns. While not universally popular, over half of serial returners are willing to pay a small fee for returns, suggesting a targeted approach could be effective.
  • Loyalty Perks – PrettyLittleThing offers free returns for loyalty customers, rewarding their most valuable shoppers while managing return costs.
  • Tech-Driven Prevention – Virtual try-ons and AR fitting rooms are helping retailers address the root causes of returns—poor fit and unmet expectations. These tools are particularly valuable during the gifting season, where size and style mismatches are common.
  • Sustainability Initiatives – IKEA’s Buy-Back and Resell programme encourages customers to return unwanted items for vouchers, promoting a circular economy. This not only reduces waste but also raises awareness about the environmental impact of returns while promoting in-store and refurbishment options.

By aligning policies with shopper behaviours and leveraging technology, retailers can turn the festive returns challenge into an opportunity. Effective returns management not only protects margins but also fosters long-term customer loyalty, making it a critical component of a successful Peak season.

Serial returners are most likely to pay upfront to reduce return costs

Q: Would you ever consider paying a little bit extra at the time of online purchase to guarantee cheaper or free returns later (e.g. pay around £2 to pre-purchase a returns label)?

Source: Retail Economics, ZigZag

Delivery Spotlight

  • Parcel Volumes:
    Parcel volume dropped slightly in the week following the 2 peak weeks around Black Friday and Cyber Monday – whilst parcel volumes reduced they still remain significantly higher than almost all other weeks in the year.

  • Carrier Performance:
    Delivery performance across the week has once again been exceptional – our carrier partners have continued to protect their networks from any excess capacity in the market to focus on maintaining the highest possible service levels.

  • Deliveries this Week:
    We expect to see a similar percentage of drop in volumes this week but the mix of deliveries is expected to change across the course of the week as both retailers and consumers seek out next-day services to protect service before Christmas.

  • B2B:
    We will start to see a drop in B2B deliveries towards the end of this week as some industries start their traditional Christmas holiday breaks.
  • Weather Conditions:
    Weather is forecast to remain mild all week so do not expect any last-minute weather disruptions to impact on service.

  • Ireland Shipments:
    Challenges remain on shipments being sent to Ireland on sea services due to the damage at Holyhead – the port is now expected to remain closed until Thursday, 19th December 2024 at the earliest. GFS carrier partners are seeking any and all sailing alternatives; the challenge is expected to mean that more retailers will switch to Air services to protect Christmas orders.

  • Christmas Order Cut-offs:
    It is expected that the mid-week timing of Christmas next week will mean consumers are confident in placing online orders right up to the Carrier Christmas promise cut-offs with strong demand continuing to the end of the week and across the weekend.

Join the Conversation

Peak Bulletin 2024 - Issue 5
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“We’ve developed a great rapport with the team at GFS and have found them to be a real support to the Bodycare team.”

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“Sales volume forecasting is almost impossible for us, but with the flexibility of GFS’ solution, we can satisfy demand even during our busiest periods.”

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“This setup has not only boosted our customer service experience, but also improved our planning and forecasting during peak times without the limitation of capping order volumes. The partnership with GFS has been invaluable in maintaining high customer satisfaction and operational efficiency.”

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“GFS has helped us achieve our goal to deliver a relevant and consistent delivery experience to every customer, every time.”

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“GFS really saved the day when we were really finding our feet as a new business.”

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“Partnering with GFS has transformed our logistics. With their multi-carrier sophistication, we’ve introduced weekend deliveries and gained the flexibility to switch carriers effortlessly. GFS simplifies everything with their efficiency through one contact, one relationship, one invoice, and one integration. Plus, they opened up new horizons with smooth international shipping options. Even onboarding just before Black Friday, we sailed through peak deliveries without a hitch. GFS’ reliability and efficiency have been game-changing for us!”

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“Working with GFS has transformed how we handle deliveries. Their flexible, multi-carrier services have made it easier for us to keep up with growing demand while maintaining smooth operations — even with our tricky sized products! The GFS team is always there when we need them, helping us stay ahead of the game.”

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